Non-formal Explorations

In order to learn more about the factors that may be important in making predictions, we occasionally wish to make informal or non-formal predictions, not to be included in the basis for evaluation of the formal hypotheses. For example, an event may be of great interest in one country but unknown or little attended in the rest of the world. A set of such informal predictions was made for the Indian elections in early October 1999. Similar exploratory assessments may also be made for certain events in addition to those specified in formal predictions. This page provides access to the analytical results for the informal explorations. An asterisk * signifies extended exploration.


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