This was a prediction suggested by several sources,
beginning with the moveon.org announcement of a vigil:
Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 05:48:07 +0000
From: "Wes Boyd, MoveOn.org"
Subject: Please help with a Global Vigil for Peace
Dear MoveOn supporters around the world,
Please visit http://www.globalvigil.org and plan a candlelight vigil for peace in your area
on Sunday, March 16 at 7 pm. MoveOn.org and the Win Without War coalition, together
with Archbishop Desmond Tutu and many faith-based organizations, are calling this vigil,
and we need your help.
Beginning in New Zealand, this will be a rolling wave of candlelight gatherings that will
quickly cross the globe. It's up to you to make this happen. Today we are asking
individuals, like you, to organize a vigil in each community. We're hoping that thousands
of small groups around the world will be inspired to come together and stand for peace.
In the web-distributed materials for organization of the vigil, the
suggestion was made to maintain the vigil for something like half an hour,
beginning at 7:00 local time. Although a signal average might be a
good representation, the formal prediction specified a
simple accumulation over the whole
24 hours, beginning at 7:00pm in New Zealand. Standard analysis,
seconds. (UTC time is 07:00 Sun Mar 16 to 07:00 Mon Mar 17)
The result was a positive outcome with Chisquare of 86945 on 86400
df and a p-value of 0.095191.